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What Budget 2025 means for logistics costs and how businesses can protect service and margin through productivity

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Seetec has launched a free “Budget 2025: 90-day action plan for logistics and warehousing employers” to help operators respond to rising costs without sacrificing service levels, by focusing on the fastest productivity levers: supervisors, planners and early-career pipelines.

Logistics doesn’t absorb cost increases neatly. With tight margins and contracts that often pass changes through via rate cards and surcharges, pressure in fuel, warehousing and compliance can feed through quickly into the cost of moving and storing goods, and ultimately into price.

Logistics doesn’t carry cost neatly: it transmits it,” said Kirsty Turner, Strategic Head of Apprenticeships and Development at Seetec. “When costs rise in fuel, warehousing and compliance, friction becomes inflation fast. The sustainable route out is productivity: stronger supervision, stronger planning, and clear progression pathways that reduce churn and agency dependency.

The Budget 2025 changes logistics businesses are watching

Budget 2025 includes several measures that, taken together, increase cost pressure across transport and warehousing:

Two workers in reflective vests are reading and discussing documents together in front of a large red and silver truck.
  • Fuel duty: the 5p per litre cut continues until August 2026, followed by phased increases later in 2026 and into 2027.
  • Business rates (warehousing): from April 2026, higher rates apply to larger, higher-value properties, bringing added cost pressure for bigger distribution sites and increasing the likelihood of contract resets.
  • Road tax direction of travel: from April 2028, a new mileage-based charge for electric and plug-in hybrid cars begins (relevant for company and supervisor fleets), signalling where future road taxation is heading as fuel duty declines.

Skills and funding: turning pressure into productivity

Alongside cost measures, the Budget also sets out skills reforms intended to make it easier for employers to build capability and progression at scale, including funding linked to the Youth Guarantee and the Growth and Skills Levy, plus reforms to simplify apprenticeships and introduce funded short courses from April 2026.

Seetec’s action plan focuses on connecting that funding to operational outcomes businesses already manage including OTIF, throughput per labour hour, cost-to-serve, error rates and agency reliance.

“Without investable capability in supervisors and planners, the default response becomes blunt: capacity cuts, delayed investment and higher prices,” added Kirsty. “A simple 90-day plan helps connect funded training to the measures leaders already manage: throughput per labour hour, OTIF, cost-to-serve and agency reliance.”

Free download: Budget 2025 90-day action plan for logistics employers

The free download sets out five immediate steps, including:

  • Prioritising “make-or-break” roles tied to OTIF, throughput and cost-to-serve
  • Professionalising shift leaders as a productivity bottleneck
  • Building repeatable induction and early-career pipelines to stabilise headcount
  • Coordinating levy-funded training across sites to prevent avoidable expiry
  • Removing operational “micro-frictions” (WMS/scanning discipline, data capture, stock accuracy) that drive rework and service failures

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Last updated 12 December 2025

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Andy White, Freelance WordPress Developer London